We are independent & ad-supported. We may earn a commission for purchases made through our links.
Advertiser Disclosure
Our website is an independent, advertising-supported platform. We provide our content free of charge to our readers, and to keep it that way, we rely on revenue generated through advertisements and affiliate partnerships. This means that when you click on certain links on our site and make a purchase, we may earn a commission. Learn more.
How We Make Money
We sustain our operations through affiliate commissions and advertising. If you click on an affiliate link and make a purchase, we may receive a commission from the merchant at no additional cost to you. We also display advertisements on our website, which help generate revenue to support our work and keep our content free for readers. Our editorial team operates independently of our advertising and affiliate partnerships to ensure that our content remains unbiased and focused on providing you with the best information and recommendations based on thorough research and honest evaluations. To remain transparent, we’ve provided a list of our current affiliate partners here.
Science

Our Promise to you

Founded in 2002, our company has been a trusted resource for readers seeking informative and engaging content. Our dedication to quality remains unwavering—and will never change. We follow a strict editorial policy, ensuring that our content is authored by highly qualified professionals and edited by subject matter experts. This guarantees that everything we publish is objective, accurate, and trustworthy.

Over the years, we've refined our approach to cover a wide range of topics, providing readers with reliable and practical advice to enhance their knowledge and skills. That's why millions of readers turn to us each year. Join us in celebrating the joy of learning, guided by standards you can trust.

How do I Predict the Weather?

By Ken Black
Updated: May 21, 2024
Views: 15,237
Share

Being able to predict the weather often takes specialized tools and a formal education in meteorology. For those backyard prognosticators who either do not want to depend on what someone else says or do not have access to the weatherman, however, there are some practical weather prediction tips. While these tips will not always be accurate predictors, they can certainly help more often than not. You can use a barometer, observe the sky and clouds, and even consider the smells of various parts of nature.

For those who can get one, a barometer can be a very helpful tool. Carefully observing the barometer over a period of hours should be an accurate way to predict the weather. A barometer reading that is going steadily up should mean clear weather. A barometer meter going steadily down should mean stormy weather. The barometer usually hovers somewhere near 30. Anything below this could indicate bad weather. Above 30 is usually good weather.

Cloud observation is another good way to predict the weather. Dark, solid clouds, known as cumulonimbus, are usually an indication of severe weather, including storms with much rain and wind. If the dark areas are broken by lighter or brighter colors, known as mammatus clouds, this could indicate the storm is breaking up. Cirrus clouds, which are wispy clouds kind of in the pattern of a horse tail, usually indicate good weather, but could mean there may be a change in the next day or two.

Another way to predict the weather is to look at the visibility in the sky, both in the morning and at night. This is good for both winter weather prediction and summer weather predictions. If haze is present, which can be determined at night by looking at the moon, the weather should be clear. While many people associate haze with poor air quality, it also means no moisture is present to knock particles down.

A somewhat less reliable pattern for those wanting to predict the weather is to look for dew in the morning. If there is no dew, this could be because of high winds, which mean there is the possibility of a change in the weather. If the weather has been bad in the past day, this means a low pressure system is likely being replaced by a high pressure system. If the weather has been good in recent history, the opposite effect is likely happening. If dew is present, then more of the same type of weather may be expected. In winter weather prediction, a north wind typically means dry weather, while a south wind could mean rain or snow.

While many may scoff at the phrase "smelling the rain," the smells given off by different things can be another way to predict the weather. For example, swamps usually smell their worst just before rain, because that is when they release the most methane. Flowers generally are at their most odorous just before a rain. Getting used to these smells during good weather, then noticing any changes, is a possible way to predict the weather.

Share
All The Science is dedicated to providing accurate and trustworthy information. We carefully select reputable sources and employ a rigorous fact-checking process to maintain the highest standards. To learn more about our commitment to accuracy, read our editorial process.
Discussion Comments
By anon182894 — On Jun 03, 2011

Perhaps it's not as scientific as one might prefer, but my body tells me quite accurately when the barometer starts to go downward. Many people find this to be true of themselves, whether they experience depression, arthritis, gout, chronic pain, et. al.

By Thinkwalks — On Jan 05, 2011

Along with the basic science tools described, you can now predict weather using high tech tools, especially in high tech regions where there are a lot of sensors and dedicated websites. I've consolidated these into a how-to online, for folks in San Francisco. My effort is oriented to predicting the immediate weather, not far into the future.

Share
https://www.allthescience.org/how-do-i-predict-the-weather.htm
Copy this link
All The Science, in your inbox

Our latest articles, guides, and more, delivered daily.

All The Science, in your inbox

Our latest articles, guides, and more, delivered daily.